Mega Thread Winter's Snowed-In BBQ Forum

Discussion in 'Weather' started by POW_hungry, May 31, 2017.

  1. motty

    motty Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2013
    Messages:
    34
    Likes Received:
    29
    Great. Thanks
     
  2. rocketboy

    rocketboy Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2010
    Messages:
    1,558
    Likes Received:
    1,245
    I guess on tonight's BOM for NSW we should wait for the 2 day rule to actually kick in ...

    season starter 4.0 ...
     
    jungfrau likes this.
  3. jungfrau

    jungfrau Active Member

    Joined:
    Jun 25, 2013
    Messages:
    456
    Likes Received:
    209
    #losingfaith #mightplaythereportcardinstead
     
  4. AJS

    AJS Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2014
    Messages:
    317
    Likes Received:
    295
    Thredbo BOM currently -9.2 but sadly no moisture about until approx. 3am tonight. Looking at WZ, real moisture not getting there until 2pm onwards tomorrow, but temps are pretty marginal by then, pushing into the positives from approx, 7pm Mon until 6am Tue- are you guys seeing that in the models or are the BOM just being concervative? Are we expecting some prefrontal with this second phase?
     
  5. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    13,810
    Likes Received:
    5,412
    Yes to prefrontal.
     
  6. melty68

    melty68 Dedicated Member

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2007
    Messages:
    1,078
    Likes Received:
    103
    I think Sydney would have to be the best place to be at the moment in the world....! It's 20 dgs middle of winter no wind kids down the beach fishing and stuff
     
    Ubiquitous Steve and IAB like this.
  7. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    332
    Likes Received:
    797
    If you like that kind of stuff. Personally I'd be happier with 10c, wind blowing and raining. You can keep your 20 degree weather ;)
     
    Kimski, Vertikar, MarkV and 2 others like this.
  8. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    332
    Likes Received:
    797
    No idea when this was taken, but it's an awesome shot from somewhere in the NSW backcountry.

     
  9. Karicta

    Karicta Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2011
    Messages:
    4,282
    Likes Received:
    2,172
    **** me, check out the 'cyclone' to strike NZ later this week....

    Book your tickets for next week

    BIBLICAL!

    [​IMG]
     
    Deanski, nfip, Rabid K9 and 3 others like this.
  10. Ian

    Ian Active Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2002
    Messages:
    315
    Likes Received:
    61
    West side of Watson's Creek...
     
  11. Rabid K9

    Rabid K9 Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Silver

    Joined:
    Jul 15, 2008
    Messages:
    1,915
    Likes Received:
    1,161
    Get some negative SAM all up and at you Australia & New Zealand!
     
    Karicta likes this.
  12. Hermon

    Hermon Dedicated Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2008
    Messages:
    1,458
    Likes Received:
    308
    rocketboy likes this.
  13. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
    Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    90,605
    Likes Received:
    26,961
    EC has something perhaps brewing for the 26th

    [​IMG]

    GFS hinting on it too.
     
  14. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Old And Crusty
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    37,964
    Likes Received:
    9,640
    hit 25 in Perth today ARGGGGGHHH :headbang:
     
  15. Billy_Buttons

    Billy_Buttons Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2011
    Messages:
    2,968
    Likes Received:
    1,546
    Hasten those retirement plans and make an advance move on Alpine property purchase. ;)
     
  16. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Old And Crusty
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    37,964
    Likes Received:
    9,640
    I'd love to but my cash reserves couldnt keep up
     
  17. Billy_Buttons

    Billy_Buttons Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2011
    Messages:
    2,968
    Likes Received:
    1,546
    Stay focused, you must do it!
     
    gareth_oau likes this.
  18. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    332
    Likes Received:
    797
    dawooduck, Billy_Buttons and skidazza like this.
  19. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Old And Crusty
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    37,964
    Likes Received:
    9,640
    Billy_Buttons likes this.
  20. Billy_Buttons

    Billy_Buttons Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2011
    Messages:
    2,968
    Likes Received:
    1,546
  21. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    48,604
    Likes Received:
    24,906
    Wednesday morning lolerful... GFS all in for Aug 2nd...
     
  22. AJS

    AJS Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2014
    Messages:
    317
    Likes Received:
    295
    Only GFS? I'm watching that date range as per earlier comments so hoping it's not too much of a lol o_O:D
     
  23. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    48,604
    Likes Received:
    24,906
    at that date range everything's a lol.
    file away, look again in 4 days.
     
    The Plowking and AJS like this.
  24. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    48,604
    Likes Received:
    24,906
  25. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    13,810
    Likes Received:
    5,412
    Last week of the month looking interesting imo.
     
    Claude Cat and mick chopps like this.
  26. bengarden

    bengarden Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 24, 2014
    Messages:
    343
    Likes Received:
    166
    Just not seeing consistent proper cold daytime temps this year. Even with this front and the fresh snow its still above freezing at Perisher Village today i.e. snow will become much less fun and dry. We need proper cold days with fresh snow r with max temps not above about -3 to -4 that stick around for a couple of days.......Its mid/late July which is when you would expect coldest temps right? It seems like it struggles to stay sub zero at present.......a climatic trend or just this year?
     
  27. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    13,810
    Likes Received:
    5,412
    Purely just the way this system played out. Nothing more.
    Happened exactly as most here predicted. 20 to 30cm
    It snowed at the big 4 plus buller.
    Need a base. It's a win.
     
  28. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    48,604
    Likes Received:
    24,906
    has disregarded that it was -4 and colder most of back end of last week and the weekend.... In fact, the only thing that saw the front of this system deliver snow was the residual cold temps when the prefrontal arrived on Monday night. Oh, but that didn't happen at Perisher so it didn't happen anywhere. Disregard.
     
    #778 mick chopps, Jul 19, 2017
    Last edited: Jul 19, 2017
    The Plowking likes this.
  29. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Old And Crusty
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2008
    Messages:
    37,964
    Likes Received:
    9,640
    Pissing down in Perth at the moment.

    Big low over the southwest looks more like a cyclone than a low
     
  30. jungfrau

    jungfrau Active Member

    Joined:
    Jun 25, 2013
    Messages:
    456
    Likes Received:
    209
    Except the southern vic resorts were meant to get good snow from the Southerly.
    Baw baw and Lake Mountain didn't ..
     
  31. MickM

    MickM Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Silver

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2001
    Messages:
    2,251
    Likes Received:
    368
    Not liking temps later next week, looks like R*** at Buller. Hopefully the lows can push through?
     
  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
    Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    90,605
    Likes Received:
    26,961
    25th and 28/29th look pretty marginal.
     
  33. MickM

    MickM Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Silver

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2001
    Messages:
    2,251
    Likes Received:
    368
    Yeah, I'm at Buller 27/28th. Hoping the charts improve!
     
  34. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    332
    Likes Received:
    797
  35. Cuddles

    Cuddles Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2015
    Messages:
    318
    Likes Received:
    237
    the real hills!
     
    DiscoStuAU likes this.
  36. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    13,810
    Likes Received:
    5,412
    Yep.
    Too warm unfortunately.
    Quantity of moisture was on point.
     
  37. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    48,604
    Likes Received:
    24,906
    1st of August just popping into free EC range now... worth watching.
     
    AJS, Claude Cat and The Plowking like this.
  38. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    48,604
    Likes Received:
    24,906
    Models pretty meh this morning. Spag still hinting at 31-1st period but hellava lot of uncertainty.
     
    nfip likes this.
  39. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    13,810
    Likes Received:
    5,412
    all wa-centric with potential ridging.
     
    mick chopps likes this.
  40. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    3,110
    Likes Received:
    2,015

    Got some moisture to play with for the next two weeks, as MJO is in our region.
     
    W0nkey D0nkey, nfip and The Plowking like this.
  41. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    332
    Likes Received:
    797
    Would I be right in saying that this winter in Melbourne and VIC at large as been one of the driest on record? From what I can find data wise it looks like we have only had 30mm of rain and from my own memory of living here for 9 years I cannot recall a drier winter with a distinct lack of direct hit cold fronts.

    Granted we have 2+ months to go and things can change.
     
  42. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    13,810
    Likes Received:
    5,412
    It's been dry.
    But not in the 2006 lawns drying out in winter type though.
    Plus there's a bit of snow.
     
    snowblowa and Claude Cat like this.
  43. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    332
    Likes Received:
    797
    Yeah not doom and glooming btw! Just an observation.
     
    The Plowking likes this.
  44. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    13,810
    Likes Received:
    5,412
    Certainly the driest winter since then. I still have irrigation systems on in some of the Sandy soil profile gardens I look after on the peninsula. Nice drop yesterday and day before at least.
     
  45. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    10,420
    Likes Received:
    6,809
    which way did you guys end up getting the moisture from yesterday ?
    SE or SW ?
    I'm interested to know which side of Tassie ....
     
  46. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    13,810
    Likes Received:
    5,412
    sw.
    We still usually get stuff on the coast even with the shadow effect.
     
  47. glengary

    glengary Well-Known Member
    Season Pass Silver

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2015
    Messages:
    482
    Likes Received:
    474
    I see Mt. Dobson in N.Z. had a forecast today for 123cm. That's a reasonable fall !
     
    derwent and Claude Cat like this.
  48. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki Dedicated Member
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 19, 2014
    Messages:
    3,952
    Likes Received:
    4,836
  49. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
    Season Pass Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    10,420
    Likes Received:
    6,809
    Kewl. As you prolly read I was watching on satellite the moisture feed in from the IO for couple of days.
    Could also see it on the radar sliding up East coast of Tassie, Vic and wider of NSW.
    Good to get other thoughts to add to the sketchy memory bank.
    :cheers:
     
  50. snowblowa

    snowblowa Dedicated Member

    Joined:
    Jun 15, 2010
    Messages:
    851
    Likes Received:
    716
    The year Buller had just Burke Street and LBS open most of the season?
     
    The Plowking likes this.