Mega Thread The Weather Forum Epic BBQ thread

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Sandy, May 31, 2010.

  1. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member
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  2. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    better with the pressure ,
    but not so with the geo ht. ?
    GFS has 540 much further North.
     
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  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member
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    It'll most certainly do for April!:thumbs:
     
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  4. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Absolutely.
    Loving the shape , and the recent pattern we observe.
    Steady as she goes .
     
  5. stridercdh

    stridercdh Active Member

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    Hmm I wonder if there will be much in the way of snow from this system?
     
  6. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    At the moment:
    [​IMG]
    EC has 5-8cm on the cards for the Main Range.
    [​IMG]
    And GFS has 10-15cm on the cards for the Main Range. But it doesn't show snow for the Victorian Alps, unlike EC that shows Dusting-5cm for the Vic Alps. But snowfall totals will become much more clear closer to the event.
     
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  7. stridercdh

    stridercdh Active Member

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    Thanks for that. Fingers crossed for Vic for some sightseeing snow.
     
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  8. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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  9. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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  10. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member
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  12. Undies

    Undies Part of the Furniture
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    Yikes. Better enjoy this current cool weather, might be the last we have for a while.
     
  13. stridercdh

    stridercdh Active Member

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  14. Undies

    Undies Part of the Furniture
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    Looking at the chance of above mean temps, the BOM seems to think it will be a fairly warm period compared to normal. But that's probably what it will say every year from here on in.
     
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  15. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member
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    Very low chance of exceeding median rainfall is unfavourable also (a dry seasonal average). they tend to have a reasonable skill/accuracy on them too.

     
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  16. Undies

    Undies Part of the Furniture
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    Dry and warm aren't really the words we want to see on a ski forum, are they?
     
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  17. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member
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    Come to think of it, I can't think of any forums that want those two words posted...
     
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  18. Undies

    Undies Part of the Furniture
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    The Australian Naturist Forums, perhaps?
     
  19. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    Except the Sunshine forums.
     
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  20. dogski

    dogski Active Member

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    Take these with a grain of salt.Their forecasts are always either on the warm side of above night and day temps as well as below average rainfall.
     
  21. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member
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    Links pls!?;)
     
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  22. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    [​IMG]
    The rainfall accuracy is reasonably high for a climate model.
    [​IMG]
    And the Max Temp predictions are even better for the Alps.
     
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  23. Undies

    Undies Part of the Furniture
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    It's allowed to be dry and a little bit warmer than average if that is interspersed with short bursts of eipc cold and wet. The clear nights can then turn the base into concrete.
     
  24. stridercdh

    stridercdh Active Member

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    So, in short, don't bother dusting off the skis this season? :( Bloody grim lol.
     
  25. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    No, climate outlooks sometimes stuff up and Late Season might be great. But it doesn't like a great pre season according to all the guidance we have.
     
    #10425 Jellybeans1000, Apr 27, 2017
    Last edited: Apr 27, 2017
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  26. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Chin up bro.
    You'll still have some fun.
    Do a bit of research , bit of storm - watching and sweat on the models and the crap we read ( and write :whistle: )here.
    When it's on , load the van and go for it.
    If it's not . go anyways better than staying home being miserable wishing you where going.... !
    ;)
     
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  27. stridercdh

    stridercdh Active Member

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    Exactly. I will be keeping the car ready to go at a moment's notice. Fingers crossed for some decent cold snaps.
     
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  28. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Dedicated Member
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    We always worry that it will be too hot or too cold with no moisture at the beginning of each season.

    The fact is that it will snow, it will rain, it will be freezing and it will be warm. It won't ever be epic enough or powdery enough but we'll all have fun and live to see in season 2018.
     
  29. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member
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    Hopefully... 'til this guys rocks up.
    [​IMG]
     
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  30. stridercdh

    stridercdh Active Member

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    Amen to that. I guess the warm outlook always leaves me worried. But yes, we always have snow. And yes, I always make the most of it and have fun every season. :)
     
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  31. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    [​IMG]
     
  32. kimberlee81

    kimberlee81 Dedicated Member

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    Dunno about that...

    [​IMG]
     
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  33. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member
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    Meanwhile, today Hotham be like...
     
  34. Rush

    Rush Pool Room
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    Wrong.
     
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  35. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Ripped from a friends fb.
    She walks this stretch each day and saw the Clouds , then this...
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  36. Rush

    Rush Pool Room
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  37. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    Would anybody know of a yearly record of the expanse of the Siberian Snow Cover? I am working on some correlations for the Japanese snow seasonal forecast.
     
  38. Tanuki

    Tanuki Dedicated Member
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    Mild and wet in sMelbourne for this time of year. 20c max tomorrow with sub tropical depression moving over us
     
  39. MarkV

    MarkV Active Member
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    the "Arctic Sea Ice Forum" may have this sort of information.
     
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  40. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    That's actually funny because it's a real thing.
    https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/

    But it's fine, Judah Cohen gave me a great link.
     
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  41. bondibob

    bondibob Active Member

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  42. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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  43. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Well what else would you be doing with this in the back paddock ???
    [​IMG]
     
  44. Kletterer

    Kletterer Addicted Member
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    Could we be in for some tropical influence ?
     
  45. Sno Sno SNO

    Sno Sno SNO Active Member

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    At least he won't hear what's coming....
     
  46. VSG

    VSG Pool Room
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  47. Kletterer

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  48. melty68

    melty68 Dedicated Member

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    Seriously I have been on here for a while....but now you have to be a meotorogicalllllly freak to say if a cold front might come over and snow a bit ffs
     
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  49. Kletterer

    Kletterer Addicted Member
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    Not at all. Above post is just a Sea Surface Temperature thingymibob with change in temp in Celcius.
     
  50. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN Well-Known Member

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    Just been viewing the noodles within SPAG and things are looking up imo.