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Discussion in 'Weather' started by Sandy, May 31, 2010.
whatever she's thinking about at 6 oclock I like
Thredbo BOM has had 4mm at under 0 today - might be a slow and steady accumulation yet.
It was always going to be.
IAW Cloud Cat
A long way out, but that is seriously ugly. First ever July zero for 4/7/13, anybody?
(BTW, "WTF" was D claiming red is blue, ergo must be colourblind, CC)
It's been showing up,in the last couple of runs on EC.
I was hoping it was going away.
Mind you EC (YN.no) is suggesting it will be quite cold (-2 at 1800m) so perhaps not so bad?
Will not happen imo...not like that
Think models are struggling with such a prolonged cold outbreak. I think lows like these track se
Another sign of the very mild conditions in the ACT: The first blowfly buzzing through the house tonight since the summer. I hope it represents the tail end of autumn rather than the beginning of spring.
I splatted a blowie this week as well. And had a nat in the car today. That said this was the worst season for flies in several years - they came late and hung around for months on the south coast.
Now Cc.....its gone off EC
Interesting next 10 days ahead
Low forming in bight or not?
Could go either way re nuttin to a real season starter
Is it just me, or would it be interesting to have elevation and aspect data displayed on all the (pages showing) cams?
Not just you.... some of them do have it, but should be easier to see.
How's that S fetch in the tasman on Tuesday / Wednesday......spells monster Southerly swell for the east coast and could be massive later in the week for Fiji IMO
Wouldn't be that hard for this website to add that on their pages though?
EC showing something for next Friday Saturday.
GFS not really on board at this stage
Just looking at that one myself. Has potential.
AXS nothing like GFS or EC though.
Given all models penchant for moving everything further east the closer the forecast date gets though, that is a clipper.
But no matter, it doesn't exit. Its next weekend.
Plenty weather abound. Will get going at some point this month/early July and be a decent season I reckon.
Don't like the AXS extended forecast with ecl off nsw later in week.
Axs is wrong. Updated Gfs and EC make more sense...a bit of potential actually
All three models agree on a cutoff Friday night ish...could cook into something.
Looks like Thredbo BOM got a nice dump this afternoon 7mm - all well below Z. Big burst around 1.30pm. 5cm across FV would do wonders to current conditions. Tmw should be nice though. With the guns in full swing tonight and probaly all week - probably worth the drive any day this week for a warm up and a drip of freedom.
I wanna cry when I saw your post. Thredbo condition is pathetic. Got lots of snow up top, but can't open slope because nothing at the bottom half. They can't even get Cruiser open yet. Word is it will be open around Wednesday. Friday Flat is not worth riding on now, not even for beginners.
Guns on at perisher....cloud approaching.
Has potential, but GFS has it slipping south.
No agreement in the models though.
It's June 16, chill
Sorry I was talking about Front Valley at PV. It's good enough for what has turned into a derailed slow start. Hence the "Freedom" reference. Being empty mid week - it should be kinda of fun after no skiing since October. But pretty lame for anyone who was OS this past Summer.
LWT doing interesting (good) thing starting 7 days from now.
Models should follow suit, cause at the moment they are wack.
EC looks the more real.
Big bad ECL progged for a couple of models, but they are confused about a strong frontal system that looks to hit us around the 27th at the moment. Models predicting everything from clear cold skies to 200mm ECL deluges. I do like that they are predicting weird whacky shit, it's better than a blocking high.
GFS and EC not too dissimilar for next week
Still looks kind of odd.
Beyond this...good luck with that.
I'd agree that models are having problems more than about 5 days out right now.
That BOM 4 dayer shows promise.
In other worthy weather news.
Jesus H christ.
Kaikoura could have a foot of snow on the beach.
Yeh, Kiwis could have their best opening for quite a while.
TBH its kinda depressing over there at mo
My aunty and uncle live near Kaiteriteri where that slip took out the house.
They've never ever seen so much rain in that part of the world.
Still looking like a clipper on Friday.
CC-weird how it goes from a cutoff on EC (bom) to a clipper on GFS.
double lows embedded within high pressure systems late Friday.
Very weird chart is it just automatically generated or is there some human input?
The charts do seem to be off a bit atm.
Saying that just checking out the satelite things appear a bit funky. I've only been following this sorta stuff for 5-6 years but the amount of rain being generated from the tasman seems quite unusual. In particular its penetration west especially given the tasman low has already spun off into NZ.
Personally I think the charts over the next couple of days will be more unreliable than normal haha. Also it is always enjoyable watching excitement and disappointment of posts as systems appear and disappear of long range charts.
Looks like Nelson/Tasman has seen the worst now Donza. There's some concern though for eastern areas of the South Island from Christchurch south to Dunedin where flooding has been severe and heavy snow is expected in the next few days.
Yeah another aunty is in canters. On the WC road...with a creek through her backyard.
She'll get snowed in.
Man...models are wack...
The Charts are BoM artwork based on multiple model output. EC and UK models favour the 'embedded lows' on Friday. BoM, GFS and JMA don't have it