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Discussion in 'Weather' started by fletch, Nov 23, 2012.
60 at Cortina apparently.
Otari is showing increase from 23cm yesterday, to 93cm at 11am today. Cortina would probably have gotten more up the top.
Nozawa Onsen was showing 21cm last night (bottom), at 11am has 72cm.
Sekiyama (near Myoko, one station north of Myoko Kogen) was on 10cm yesterday, now 71cm at 11am.
A bit of a lull in Japan right now with light westerlies, but later in the day IMO, a northerly should kick in and persist for around a day and a half.
Blue bird day yesterday and clear again this morning in Niseko. Started snowing lightly about midday, getting heavier now in late afternoon.
Two weeks to go!
Puking now at 9:30pm since about 4pm....
Fresh northerly wind and clear skies in Yokohama....... should be dumping on the resorts in central Japan!!!!!!
On the JMA site, since yesterday evening to 8am:
Sekiyama (near Myoko): +28cm (52cm -> 80cm)
Yuzawa (base town near Naeba & Kagura): +47cm (57cm -> 104cm)
Nozawa Onsen: +20cm (58cm -> 78cm)
Otari (near Cortina): +13cm (70cm -> 83cm)
Hakuba (town office): +1 (26cm -> 27cm)
Kutchan (base town near Niseko): +23cm (108cm -> 131cm)
Furano: +5cm (35cm -> 40cm)
Pick of the bunch seems to be Yuzawa
Cortina had 20cm overnight on top of it snowing all day yesterday.
Snowing lightly in the valley atm and very windy.
We had 40cms overnight and has been snowing all day .
Myoko about the same. I have just come in from moving snow since before 8 this morning with a short break for breakfast.
-6 here this arvo in the valley. Northern end is copping it today.. Very windy too.
Yuzawa looks to be the pick of the bunch....
Only 340m elevation, gateway to Kagura & Naeba, they've had 63cm since last night..... possibly 50% more at Kagura.
Clear morning and down to -15.
-16.1 at 7am, Hakuba town weather station!!
Any predictions for next two weeks in Honshu?
Warm over this weekend with snow coming in a big way from Sunday evening. IMO if you are in the Honshu hills between Monday 31st - Tuesday 9th you are going to have a good time
Strangely enough, I will be in the Honshu hills between Jan 1st and 8th, so the weather (snow) should be brilliant!!!!
Does anyone know/have links for any hakuba forecasts that are longer range than 7 days out?
Snow-Forecast.com does 9 day but its a premium service that requires subscription.
Snow-forecast is terrible at predicting snowfall, it's good at determining freze levels, best to learn how to read weather models imho, heaps easy for Japan, just got to check the wind direction (nw) and let the sea of Japan do the rest ;-)
I use weather.unisys.com
I find with snowforecast, you ignore the cms predicted and look for moderate snowfall. That seems to be accurate in predicting decent dumps.
Still looks like rain in central Japan resorts, Sat 29th/Sun 30th, and some seriously strong winds in Hokkaido Sun 30th/Mon 31st, IMO.
But good snow in central Japan from 31st Dec - 3rd Jan. And very cold with snow in Hokkaido around that time.
Friday, Dec. 28, 2012
60 spots see mercury dip to new low (Sourced from Japanese Times)
A cold wave sent temperatures to record lows for December in 60 locations Thursday morning, the weather agency said, warning the cold weather is likely to continue over the weekend.
The mercury fell to minus 28.1 in Taiki in Hokkaido, minus 11.2 in Fukushima Prefecture's Namie and minus 4.5 in Osaka Prefecture's Toyonaka, according to the Meteorological Agency.
The Sukayu hot spa area in Aomori Prefecture saw snowfall of 297 cm as of 10 a.m., a new high for the month, up from the previous record of 295 cm logged on Dec. 29, 2005.
The temperature some 1,500 meters above Ishikawa Prefecture on the Sea of Japan coast sank to minus 14.5 on Wednesday night, more than 9 degrees lower than the average year, the agency said, adding it is very rare to observe such a strong cold air mass there even in the middle of winter.
snowing heavily atm
Interesting and promising!!!
Agree. I think the warm air may have dissipated. May only be slight R in the valley and ok up top. Next week is looking very good.
Four weeks until I hit the Hakuba slopes. Hearing about all this snow makes a nice change from worrying if there will be enough snow for my Aus / NZ trips. Can't wait!
GFS and NOGAPS are looking very different from each other.
Central Japan resorts looks like(IMO):
Sat 29: Warm but dry
Sun 30: Rain developing turning to snow
Mon 31: Snow, cold
Tue 1st: Snow easing, cold
Wed 2nd: Mainly fine, cool
Thu 3rd: Mainly fine, mild
Thu 4th: Mainly fine, mild
Sat 29: Warm but dry
Sun 30: Rain developing turning to snow
Mon 31: Snow, cold
Tue 1st: Snow easing
Wed 2nd: Heavy snow, cold
Thu 3rd: Snow, cold
Fri 4th: Snow easing, cold
Snowing lightly in Niseko after snotting all day. Feels much warmer tonight - from what I can see in local reports -4 rather than the -10 or lower of last few nights. Wind has dropped off to zero. Looking forward to no wind and warmer conditions with more freshies tommorrow.
Superstition at Niseko Village this morning was awesome!
It has been snowing at Myoko since about 5pm. I have been listening to it sliding off my roof all night. Lovely sound! Last season we had snow stoppers on the roof and consequently had a lot of snow there. We were lucky to only have to remove it once and only have a small amount of roof damage.
Looks like a warm day coming up, with Hakuba on 6 deg and even Niseko has just reached above zero. I wonder what the Japanese
equivalent is of the 'Pineapple Express'.
How about a "Wasabi Shinkansen"
Very good. Some like it hot.
Just hope Mr. Wasabi doesn't cause too much damage.
Raining in Hirafu this morning, aargh!
Not surprising IMO. There's a high off to the east and a low off to the west, directing warm air up into Hokkaido.
The warm temperatures will continue until later in the day/early tomorrow in Hokkaido.(and also central Japan)
Does Sandy have any predictions for snowfall from Jan 6th onwards from latest weather charts for central Japan? I see your usually pretty accurate so thought I'd ask as I'm heading Madarao/myoko/nozawa between 6th and 17th.
Serious rain event in Furano all afternoon, not good.....
^ yuk, hopefully the base recovers over the next week.
Myoko has had about 30cm snow overnight after rain yesterday.
At this stage, IMO, looks like clear & cold with light winds 6th -7th, a little snow 8th-9th, 10th-12th clearer and warmer, and good snow rolling in 13th-17th.
By "a little snow" do you mean a few cm's or a myoko style little snow like 30cm?
You see, I was hoping for BIG snow sometime on our trip all the way from Scotland. could 13th-17th potentially deliver? I am aware this is still a long way out so its speculative but hey.
"A little snow" would be 30cm overnight type of snow.... "Good snow" might be 150cm+ over 4 days
^ Sounds good. Lock that in please Sandy.
Is it usual to have rain events at the Japanese resorts during mid-winter?
I see tthe Myoko is very close to sea level and close to the ocean so i suspect that itt might be succeptable to rain events?
Hakuba is a bit higher ( from memory) so probably less rain there?
When i was in Nideko last we had a day of light rain, but that was late Feb so...... ??
It's not mid winter yet, but these low pressure troughs one after the other in late december are unusual.
In mid winter (IMO, from the start of January until about the end of the 1st week in Feb), you might get one rain event. After that until the end of Feb, they are more common, but not every week for example.
Rain events are not caused so much by proximity to the sea in mid winter. They are caused by low pressure troughs/storm systems that move in from the west or SW. I've often said that the best case scenario for central Japan, is to have a winter with NO STORMS at all, just a consistent northerly wind.
Dumb question but what do you see in the chart?
That thick black line (5400m) over much of Japan = Cold
*Queue Sandy's comments