Mega Thread The Autumn, winter's not far away thread!

Discussion in 'Weather' started by jwx, Mar 1, 2017.

  1.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    [​IMG]
    Yes definitely. Has a clear correlation with snowfall in the Aussie Alps among other things.

    Credit to @Gerg
    http://gergs.net/2015/04/madden-julian-and-snow/

    Was thinking of posting a proper article on my website about the correlations and posting some of the mountains of data I have on it.
     
    Last edited: Mar 20, 2017
    :thumbs: Kletterer likes this.
  2.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    Thunderstrike in Box Hill. Faint but it's happening!!!
     
    :thumbs: Claude Cat likes this.
  3.  
    POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    *Reference & Credit to @Gerg
    http://gergs.net/2015/04/madden-julian-and-snow/
     
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  4.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

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  5.  
    jwx

    jwx Active Member

    [​IMG]

    CFS looks to have nailed it on pwat probs, If the last week also, verifies with broad scale instability over the nation.Its typical of nina.
     
    Last edited: Mar 20, 2017
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  6.  
    POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Supports a humid March for the East Coast-proper!
     
    :thumbs: jwx likes this.
  7.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    The place is already waterlogged , everything inside as well is really damp.
    Just not getting a chance to dry out.
     
  8.  
    DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Well-Known Member Season Pass Gold

    Not a great deal of rain registered in the Melbourne cbd overnight / this morning. Looks to be clearing now
     
  9.  
    Hermon

    Hermon Dedicated Member

    Not a whole lot of rain so far. Still haven't made it to 10mm. Hopefully something decent this afternoon with cooler air aloft.

    Bit of a Long-wave trough around here in about a week's time. A South-westerly would be nice.
     
  10.  
    Kletterer

    Kletterer Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Thunder and heavy rain in Canberra atm.
     
  11.  
    DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Well-Known Member Season Pass Gold

    Big red building up behind the city atm. Belting down the rain
     
    :thumbs: POW_hungry likes this.
  12.  
    skimax

    skimax Old And Crusty Season Pass Gold

    Yep starting to persist down in Melb east , some good totals in the south west so far ,
    bring it on, the garden needs a good hosing .( caveat over 24 hours not 20 min)
     
    :thumbs: DiscoStuAU likes this.
  13.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Can hear it coming over them hills....
    Each work day is a revised plan depending on the the weather at the moment.
    Looking like same pattern for the next week or till the end of the month.
     
  14.  
    Hermon

    Hermon Dedicated Member

    Had a decent rainstorm an hour ago. Dumped 25mm in some places in town in less than 30 minutes. And yet some areas nearby got next to nothing. Hit or miss.
     
  15.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    Box Hill got like 10mm in half an hour. Really Muggy still...
     
  16.  
    filski

    filski Old And Crusty

    Storms in Sydney west this afternoon afternoon. I thought this looked interesting - nice curl, but disappeared in the next radar image.
     
    :thumbs: POW_hungry likes this.
  17.  
    AJS

    AJS Well-Known Member

    Thunder and light rain beginning - Maroubra Sydney eastern suburbs.
     
  18.  
    jwx

    jwx Active Member

    [​IMG]

    Decent cells about.
     
    :thumbs: davidg likes this.
  19.  
    Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Its a tad damp in the lower BMs atm...
     
  20.  
    davidg

    davidg Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Just a bit! Looks like my place is getting smashed, about to hit here in Penrith as well.
     
    :thumbs: POW_hungry likes this.
  21.  
    DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Well-Known Member Season Pass Gold

    Coming in from the west now. Lara, Werribee, Geelong all getting smashed looking at the radar. Lots of red in there
     
  22.  
    Billy_Buttons

    Billy_Buttons Dedicated Member Season Pass Gold

    :thumbs: nfip likes this.
  23.  
    Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Season Pass Gold

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  24.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    Some flash flooding on Gardiner Creek. The cell in the area at 2:30pm was like 10-15mm in half an hour.
    [​IMG]
     
    :thumbs: Claude Cat likes this.
  25.  
    Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy Dedicated Member

    Had a terrific storm pass through last night 1955 to 2115 , 37mm in that timeframe with winds reaching 75kmh , lightning strikes..............basically the full show. Followed up with another 26mm from 2325 to 1245 today. First decent rain event since early November.
     
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  26.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Reckon it was a fizzer in Melbourne TBH.
    Some localized heavy falls, that's all.
     
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  27.  
    jungfrau

    jungfrau Active Member

    Yes fizzed imo..
    did get a brief downpour and flood at camberwell junction in arvo .. that's about it though
     
    :thumbs: Claude Cat likes this.
  28.  
    Scoober

    Scoober Active Member

    Second time in a month we got on a field for soccer training and 40mins in had to pull the pin due to lightning on Central Coast NSW......sooooooo frustrating!!
     
  29.  
    tele-whippet

    tele-whippet beard stroker Season Pass Gold

    Direct hit here (again) neighbour saw the power pole cop it, ADSL is nuked but landline OK - weird (modem was unplugged from phone line and power and have checked with another healthy modem)
    Just raining now.
     
  30.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    It may not be your modem that's the issue, the DSLAM at the exchange end might have copped it. If your modem was not plugged in at all, I'd find it hard to believe that it's somehow failed. Was it still connected to the computer or local network connection?
     
  31.  
    MarkV

    MarkV New Member Season Pass Gold

    Another possibility is that the modem was close to dying anyway, and power cycling (ie turning it off and back on) was the last straw.
     
    :thumbs: Claude Cat likes this.
  32.  
    ecowain

    ecowain Dedicated Member

    Direct hit here too, sandbags trying to stop water, digging drainage ditches, and screaming baby. Fun and games.
     
  33.  
    tele-whippet

    tele-whippet beard stroker Season Pass Gold

    Just off the phone to Telstra, there is an ADSL outage from the storm. ADSL should be restored by 7.00 pm tomorrow.
    Firies up the road, as apparently a gas main was struck causing a significant leakage.
    We have an ironstone vein that runs from the top of the hill, 1111M, under us, that on occasions nukes various electrical appliances.
    First world thunderstorm problem :)
     
  34.  
    Billy_Buttons

    Billy_Buttons Dedicated Member Season Pass Gold

    SES phone 132500 if you need more help!
     
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  35.  
    ecowain

    ecowain Dedicated Member

    Under control now. Thanks though. Glad i live mostly on top of a mountain. Would have hated to be somewhere down low.
     
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  36.  
    tele-whippet

    tele-whippet beard stroker Season Pass Gold

    I'd be screaming if I was as young as her and digging ditches and sandbagging.
    It's not a game!
    It's not fun!
    DOCS!!!
     
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  37.  
    ecowain

    ecowain Dedicated Member

    Next group of incoming storms lined up from Wellington NSw to Lithgow NSW. There's a chance the whole lot will come through here (Mt Victoria NSW) and provide more entertainment tonight.

    Rain gear CHECK
    Shovel and pick axe CHECK
     
  38.  
    ecowain

    ecowain Dedicated Member

    She likes puddles (sits in them for fun). I don't wanna get wet myself...
     
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  39.  
    tele-whippet

    tele-whippet beard stroker Season Pass Gold

    Soft :)
     
  40.  
    Kletterer

    Kletterer Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Bloody hell. Thats over 170mm since Friday.
     
    :thumbs: Ubiquitous Steve likes this.
  41.  
    cookieman

    cookieman Dedicated Member Season Pass Silver

    Only 10mm here in Melbourne inner NE for the 2 days.still humid as hell.
     
  42.  
    tele-whippet

    tele-whippet beard stroker Season Pass Gold

    Effing wet - 340mm this month - another effing record.
    More incoming thunder the noo.
     
    :thumbs: Ubiquitous Steve likes this.
  43.  
    Billy_Buttons

    Billy_Buttons Dedicated Member Season Pass Gold

    The yard, garden, sheds, everything, stinks of Moss, Mould and Mildew! The bird baths are/were full of mossie lavar! :mad:
     
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  44.  
    Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Part of the Furniture Season Pass Gold

    If its any reassurance has been rumbling for the last 4 hours in Dubbo but zero rain.
     
  45.  
    Rabid K9

    Rabid K9 Dedicated Member Season Pass Silver

    Good to see.

    Nice little semi cut-off low working it's way down over SW WA at moment, season break rainfall for some of us, 20mm in the gauge over last couple hours, heaviest still to come.
     
  46.  
    gaz35

    gaz35 Active Member

    50+ mm in the gauge in Albury. More rain about to hit
     
  47.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    Colder and much less humid in Melbourne today.
     
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  48.  
    POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    GFS pinging an upgrade to the deep cold outbreak for Tas around the 30th (highlight by @jwx late last week). It's got all the hallmarks of a sou-wester winter system if GFS is anything to go by. Snow ~1100m at this stage.

    [​IMG]
    EC supports it but to a slightly lesser degree. Short sharp system is more likely given the ridging and time of year IMO.
     
    Last edited: Mar 22, 2017
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  49.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    -25 at 500mb heights over Tassie is quite impressive given the time of year.
     
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  50.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    I'll take it , think we all will.
    Need a lusty blast from the South to clear all this residual humidty & moisture .