Separate names with a comma.
Discussion in 'Weather' started by jwx, Mar 1, 2017.
Sadist. Perfect weather starts at minus 9!!
Surf. Wait in traffic. Pay toll bills. You know all the fun shit you country folk can't always take advantage of...
Nice little system here looking almost hybrid, needs watching.
Mel forecast precip cm's
Some big-ole towers passing through Nambucca Heads/Coffs. Steering winds forcing most of it onshore.
Beastly on the end of the run. Ark time if this verifys the low out to the east, would ride the ridge west a double whammy.
That's a good ridge-clearer.
Question is will it verify? I hope it does.
MV see's it that way as well.
Only 74 mm here yesterday.
Still raining - heavier and more consistently than yesterday, with storms forecast also.
As far as the snow season goes I am certainly ok with a mild La Nina phase, although it's somewhat going against model outcomes.
That said, we can find solace in the fact of the model's have low accuracy at this time of year.
Very summery & dry near Ballarat atm. Even the nights are mild. Looking forward to the cooler Autumn weather when it arrives.
Nothing but clear blue skies in Melbourne again today
And we're back!
Tropical Tidbits now has soundings/skew-Ts for Worldwide GFS.
This is a forecast sounding for Melbourne 10am today. Pretty awesome!
yep was going to throw that ^ in the links thread..
Humid as this morning in Central Vic (DP currently 20c). Feels primed to go Boom this afternoon/evening.
Looking forward to seeing some cooler weather soon.
Very muggy in Melbourne. Waiting for the proper front to clear the crap out.
elders weather - how good are they? Medium to high chance of rain over 11-13 April.
I wonder with the rainfall chances and the April 11 full moon, if Friday 14th could be good to see a dusting on the main range...good for an autumn hike type day, or the day after.
consensus btw ens cold shot mid n/week. If the lower heights push further
N could even get frosty on the ranges in nsw.
Canuck ens break away cutoff/polar low .
pissing down in Dubbo again.
Some cells now popping up on the Melb Metro radar. One in the Yarra Valley, and a couple over Melton and Meredith. A line of cells has crossed over from the Riverina and over the Murray, now heading south into Central and NE Vic.
STW out for a large swathe of Victoria, including Melbourne:
Crikey , time to dust off the big boards again Pow !!!!
Yass and Cbr district also in the firing line.
I would suggest not very good.
Trough line building to the NNE of Melbourne, moving S. I am thinking the arse will fall out of it as nightfall takes hold.
Should reach the city limits in the next 1.25 hours.
But it does look to linger until later into the week which is quiet unique for Southern Vic.
This is handy but use with some degree of caution (the above is actually for 11am local, using 6 hour old data), as you can see it can never be reliable as BOM's obs which clearly slow some variance:
It might not make it to Melbourne. Seabreeze is killing most of the storms that come near Melbourne and the coast. Tomorrow is going to be a soaker for Melbourne, 20-35mm with the front
Are you terming the front of this Northerly feed , for want of better term ?
Hotham just picked up 13mm in the last hour, 18mm in the last 90 mins.
Seabreeze is weakening as we speak, maybe the skyline will be lit up tonight.
Seems localised and shallow (bay breeze?).
I think Eastern Burbs will get a little soaking out of this. Firing up over Flowerdale.
Lines appear to be coming off the pv streamer off the low/trof.
This particular tropical feed taps into a MJO above Australia before it weakens completely.
Yeah a bay breeze. Some are calling it a Melbourne and particularly SE Suburbs forcefield
Coupla months to go . Geopot goodness will be upon us.
BOM Warning issued.
Nope, Buller has snow already. If that's what you are talking about
Little bitta fetch .
Squal line starting to weaken and break up around Northern outer subs of Melbs.
~5mm in some locations still possible, IMO.
stevie wonder could see the avection along the streamer.
Fluids show quite clear.
Edit: It might hit me in Box Hill if it doesn't weaken too much.
Hence comment about MJO. That feed has to come from somewhere.
Ridge be gone. GFS showing a weak polar vort during early April. EC kinda keen on it too.
I see exactly where Andrew's coming from in that statement.
This Madden Julian stuff has me somewhat perplexed. Worth investigating ?
GFS Polar Vortex Forecast looking really juicy IMO. Andrew is onto something. We'll see where SAM goes and the stratosphere set up. Nothing is locked in, but it looks like Autumn is coming.