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Discussion in 'Weather' started by Jellybeans1000, Dec 3, 2016.
25S or 15 & 20 ?
I might be missing it here also with "the twins " ^.
also I thought AXS was based from GFS model ?
But drier than tomorrow's system where 30-40mm is progged.
Yeah but most of it is before it is cold enough to snow, so only about 5cm.
He is just saying the charts look exactly the same, like twins.
No, AXS is based on UKMO models. POAMA not
Anyone who has been to FNQ and the Atherton Tablelands in particular would probably be familiar with Tinaroo Dam. These photos are a good example of how the water situation is up here at the moment. Photos taken at School Point one of the main water ski areas.
Surrounding rainforests must be looking fairly glum as well?
Solid here in Melbourne
Looks like a rain band rolling through Melbourne at the moment
124 km/h at Mount Hotham at 9:05am
104 km/h at Mount Buller at 10:09am
102 km/h at Mount Gellibrand at 5:19am
Looks like the Macedon force field shielded us from much of the rain. The Castlemaine-Kyneton-Woodend-Gisborne area picked up 25-40mm out of this system.
Hmmm that Satellite pic.
Incoming the bight
Buckle up !
There is extremely cold air pool behind that front.
It should start snowing in Tassie about midnight.
On the mainland, you should see some white stuff about 6am
It all depends on where the precipitation hits after that....
Trentham has picked up 46.4 mm today and the lowest temp so far today was at 11:30am being 10.6, now up to 14.7. I would say the Campaspe upper river and the Colliban upper river may have some decent flow from receiving that amount in such a short time. Wombat state forest still has plenty of water in it judging by the bog holes in there all being pretty much full.
It poured in Narby for quite some time. No idea yet how much fell.
A bit over 10mm in the SE subs for me.
Shy of 5mm for us.
@Claude Cat @DiscoStuAU @Chowder11 and co.
Incoming ....you guys may already have a visual on this .
Yeah we got that earlier today. We had a main band coming down from the NW followed by a band that came across and hit us here on the east side of the Bay around 11am.
Was quite unpleasant getting to work this morning before 9. All clear now though.
Interesting that we hit our maximum for the day at 6am before the change of 24.6, but it has made it to 22 now that the sun has been out. Is blowy now though with the westerly.
It went over Matlock about 2 hours ago...
It's actually quite sunny now...
Melbourne has certainly lived up to "4 seasons in a day" today. It's sunny and warm in the sun right now. Breezy though
Colder air incoming.
We'll get a piece of it later tonight early tomorrow morning by the radar.
Not cold enough for snow though... yet.
Watched it go overhead in Cheltenham, could see it coming from my office window, quite impressive.
Coldies about to hit now, looks like a few decent little showers pushing through
Looks like a dusting at Lake Mountain
Also at Mt Buller.
Perisher only got to 2 degs . 33mm in the can.
Maybe....a dusting top Mt P.
Last night the most violent lightning storm I’ve ever witnessed passed over Manly. I was already in bed but after checking the radar I could see there would be an amazing photo opportunity once the storm pushed offshore. So I got up, went to a mates place and got these snaps. What a sight!
White at Perisher too
And a couple of cms at Mawson! Wow!
its bloody winter today.
Brrrrrr, had to get the jumper out for work.
Baw Baw too
And Stirling too. Can't see anything for Hotham and Falls. Probably because of the southernly wind.
The storm capital NT will turn it on likely from Sunday, Pwat MT setup over the axis of the topend.
And from Buller
As much as I'm enjoying this really mild start to the summer, I just ducked out for a sec here at work and got caught in a shower. It's brisk, blowy, and at times, damp. Hardly pleasant, and might be a lousy night for the ODI at the MCG a little later. I'd wanna be wearing some decent warm clothes with water repellent abilities. Would be cold sitting out in the open.
Melburnians are left wondering if summer will ever truly arrive.
Read more at http://www.9news.com.au/#CZlETwhI45smJDGT.99
Just read that media story, the high pressure systems are now dipping lower into the tasman from the Indo
Its clear indication from now of transition to a summer pattern.
It was bound to happen at some point...
Just not completely yet, we need to wait for a consistent positive SAM to be sure that winter has gone.
IMO nothing that unusual about the weather, I reckon we see cold outbreaks most Decembers, it really doesn't normally heat up until Christmas or just after.
Not too cold here, 35.7 in Perth ATM. Forecasting 37 tomorrow...golf isn't looking so enticing now !
Respect both your opinions CC/Jelly, but this displays the hpa now lining up low in the indo.
look west and check the A-shem plots. IT looks over.
We going to get flooded like some models potentially showing wednesday next week?
I recall having the heater blasting in late November I think last year or the year before.
I feel that come the Australian Open every year in Melbourne the summer switch is turned on and forgotten about until March
Nah, a bit of rain on the change, but most of it will be further north at this stage.