Mega Thread Sizzling Summer Thread!

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Jellybeans1000, Dec 3, 2016.

  1.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    25S or 15 & 20 ?
     
  2.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    I might be missing it here also with "the twins " ^.
    also I thought AXS was based from GFS model ?
     
  3.  
    POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    But drier than tomorrow's system where 30-40mm is progged.
     
  4.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    Yeah but most of it is before it is cold enough to snow, so only about 5cm.
     
  5.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    He is just saying the charts look exactly the same, like twins.
    No, AXS is based on UKMO models. POAMA not
     
    :thumbs: nfip likes this.
  6.  
    Seafm

    Seafm Dedicated Member Season Pass Gold

    Anyone who has been to FNQ and the Atherton Tablelands in particular would probably be familiar with Tinaroo Dam. These photos are a good example of how the water situation is up here at the moment. Photos taken at School Point one of the main water ski areas.
    [​IMG]
     
  7.  
    Rabid K9

    Rabid K9 Dedicated Member Season Pass Silver

    Surrounding rainforests must be looking fairly glum as well?
     
  8.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Solid :emoji_cloud_rain: here in Melbourne
     
  9.  
    DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Well-Known Member Season Pass Gold



    Looks like a rain band rolling through Melbourne at the moment
     
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  10.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Windy.

    124 km/h at Mount Hotham at 9:05am
    104 km/h at Mount Buller at 10:09am
    102 km/h at Mount Gellibrand at 5:19am
     
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  11.  
    Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Season Pass Gold

    Looks like the Macedon force field shielded us from much of the rain. The Castlemaine-Kyneton-Woodend-Gisborne area picked up 25-40mm out of this system.
     
    :thumbs: Claude Cat likes this.
  12.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Hmmm that Satellite pic.
    Incoming the bight
     
  13.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Buckle up !
     
  14.  
    jeffx@stormwise

    jeffx@stormwise Active Member

    There is extremely cold air pool behind that front.
     
  15.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    It should start snowing in Tassie about midnight.
    On the mainland, you should see some white stuff about 6am
    It all depends on where the precipitation hits after that....
     
  16.  
    Juicebiglow

    Juicebiglow Active Member

    Trentham has picked up 46.4 mm today and the lowest temp so far today was at 11:30am being 10.6, now up to 14.7. I would say the Campaspe upper river and the Colliban upper river may have some decent flow from receiving that amount in such a short time. Wombat state forest still has plenty of water in it judging by the bog holes in there all being pretty much full.
     
  17.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Season Pass Gold

    It poured in Narby for quite some time. No idea yet how much fell.
     
  18.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

  19.  
    Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Season Pass Gold

    A bit over 10mm in the SE subs for me.
     
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  20.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Shy of 5mm for us.
     
  21.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    fwiw....


     
  22.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

  23.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

  24.  
    Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Season Pass Gold

    Yeah we got that earlier today. We had a main band coming down from the NW followed by a band that came across and hit us here on the east side of the Bay around 11am.

    Was quite unpleasant getting to work this morning before 9. All clear now though.

    Interesting that we hit our maximum for the day at 6am before the change of 24.6, but it has made it to 22 now that the sun has been out. Is blowy now though with the westerly.
     
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  25.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    It went over Matlock about 2 hours ago...
     
  26.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    It's actually quite sunny now...
     
  27.  
    DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Well-Known Member Season Pass Gold

    Melbourne has certainly lived up to "4 seasons in a day" today. It's sunny and warm in the sun right now. Breezy though
     
  28.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Colder air incoming.
    We'll get a piece of it later tonight early tomorrow morning by the radar.
     
    Last edited: Dec 8, 2016
  29.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    Not cold enough for snow though... yet.
     
  30.  
    jeffx@stormwise

    jeffx@stormwise Active Member

  31.  
    Chowder11

    Chowder11 Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Watched it go overhead in Cheltenham, could see it coming from my office window, quite impressive.

    Coldies about to hit now, looks like a few decent little showers pushing through
     
  32.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Looks like a dusting at Lake Mountain



    Also at Mt Buller.
     
  33.  
    nfip

    nfip Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    Perisher only got to 2 degs . 33mm in the can.
    Maybe....a dusting top Mt P.
     
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  34.  
    SAsurfa

    SAsurfa Dedicated Member

    Last night the most violent lightning storm I’ve ever witnessed passed over Manly. I was already in bed but after checking the radar I could see there would be an amazing photo opportunity once the storm pushed offshore. So I got up, went to a mates place and got these snaps. What a sight!

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  35.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    [​IMG]
    White at Perisher too
    [​IMG]
    And a couple of cms at Mawson! Wow!
     
  36.  
    Chowder11

    Chowder11 Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    its bloody winter today.
    Brrrrrr, had to get the jumper out for work.
     
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  37.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Baw Baw too

     
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  38.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    And Stirling too. Can't see anything for Hotham and Falls. Probably because of the southernly wind.
     
    :thumbs: Claude Cat likes this.
  39.  
    DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Well-Known Member Season Pass Gold

  40.  
    jeffx@stormwise

    jeffx@stormwise Active Member

    [​IMG]

    The storm capital NT will turn it on likely from Sunday, Pwat MT setup over the axis of the topend.
     
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  41.  
    DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Well-Known Member Season Pass Gold

    And from Buller

     
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  42.  
    Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Season Pass Gold

    As much as I'm enjoying this really mild start to the summer, I just ducked out for a sec here at work and got caught in a shower. It's brisk, blowy, and at times, damp. Hardly pleasant, and might be a lousy night for the ODI at the MCG a little later. I'd wanna be wearing some decent warm clothes with water repellent abilities. Would be cold sitting out in the open.
     
  43.  
    jeffx@stormwise

    jeffx@stormwise Active Member

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  44.  
    Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member

    It was bound to happen at some point...
    [​IMG]
    Just not completely yet, we need to wait for a consistent positive SAM to be sure that winter has gone.
     
  45.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    IMO nothing that unusual about the weather, I reckon we see cold outbreaks most Decembers, it really doesn't normally heat up until Christmas or just after.
     
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  46.  
    Summit

    Summit Part of the Furniture Season Pass Gold

    Not too cold here, 35.7 in Perth ATM. Forecasting 37 tomorrow...golf isn't looking so enticing now !
     
    :thumbs: Claude Cat likes this.
  47.  
    jeffx@stormwise

    jeffx@stormwise Active Member

    [​IMG]

    Respect both your opinions CC/Jelly, but this displays the hpa now lining up low in the indo.
    look west and check the A-shem plots. IT looks over.
     
  48.  
    Chowder11

    Chowder11 Addicted Member Season Pass Gold

    We going to get flooded like some models potentially showing wednesday next week?
     
  49.  
    DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Well-Known Member Season Pass Gold

    I recall having the heater blasting in late November I think last year or the year before.

    I feel that come the Australian Open every year in Melbourne the summer switch is turned on and forgotten about until March
     
  50.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator Season Pass Gold

    Nah, a bit of rain on the change, but most of it will be further north at this stage.
     
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