Sizzling Summer Soliloquies

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Claude Cat, Dec 3, 2012.

  1.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Commercial Member

    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  2.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    That's the one.
  3.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    Thanks. [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  4.  
    Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room

    Still looking like a nasty (or awesome) period from later Friday to Sunday morning. Big potentials for big hail in VIC too.

    In terms of today there was predictions of showers but IMO the wind is already too high for too much shear to be generated so if there are going to be showers my guess would be that they would be light and not as crazy as the next few days. That's not to say in the West they wont potentially get some solid cells forming, looks very active over there.
  5.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    [​IMG] [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  6.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    EC still showing around 50mm (Melbourne) for this event over Friday & Saturday.

    GFS has Melbourne right in the firing line.

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  7.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Storms have arrived in Melbourne.

    [​IMG]

    Will update.
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  8.  
    CarveMan

    CarveMan aussieskier.com Moderator Commercial Member

    Temp has dropped 10deg in the last hour or so.

    Naturally just after I bought a fan. But I hazard a guess I will need it again before long!
  9.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  10.  
    mr

    mr Part of the Furniture

    Good thing I bought a rubber raft for the kids if that GFS comes off. 100mm is bigtime for the urban jungle
  11.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    [​IMG]
    GFS tends to get a bit excited in these scenarios. Perhaps divide the figure by 2 and it's more realistic.
    EC has significantly downgraded tomorrows event.
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  12.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    Is there still a high chance of a BIG storm??
    That stormcast chart has downgraded the chance of big ones. [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  13.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Tomorrow morning is a chance.
    With a cooler day today, we just don't have the same energy levels.
  14.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    That is sad. [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  15.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Brewing up in the west of Victoria.
    Not sure it will make it to Melbourne.
  16.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  17.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    Weatherzone not BOM! [​IMG]

    This is what Bureau of Meteorology senior forecaster Rod Dickson said. (from your link.)

    'the forecast was "too far ahead to be considered reliable".

    "We issue seven-day forecasts because that is, really, the limit of reliability," said Mr Dickson.
    "Some of the models can see a little bit beyond that ... but at those sort of timescales, things can change quite markedly. So we stick to seven days."'
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  18.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    I agree with the BOM. Give it a couple of days and we'll be in the EC window ...
  19.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  20.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Commercial Member

    snow777, you worry me! You like storms? [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  21.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    Yes, I like storms - just as long as they don't score a direct hit on the top of my head with a large amount of electricity (or cannon-ball sized hail)!! [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  22.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Christmas forecasts.
    EC suggesting a damp Christmas for the SE

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Looks like Christmas Eve in Melbourne and Christmas day in NSW will be damp. Coolish too.
    Looks warm to hot in Perth.
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  23.  
    Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room

    Some good rain and storms possible tomorrow in VIC.
  24.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Commercial Member

    Good. No fires [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  25.  
    loweee

    loweee Dedicated Member

    30c here in Jindy today. The lake looks primed for a dip this afternoon.
  26.  
    Donza

    Donza Pool Room Season Pass Holder

    I'll be down next week loweee... along with cold air..
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  27.  
    Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Part of the Furniture

    Weather in Sydney has been plain shit for the last few days. Overcast and cold.
  28.  
    mr

    mr Part of the Furniture

    not so cold in melbourne today

    been on the pushy doing some shopping in sydney road, a tad warm

    cloud mass seems to be moving over
  29.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    NSW going to get smashed for the next few days.

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  30.  
    William

    William Dedicated Member Season Pass Holder

    Was still just over 40°C here in Adelaide at 6:30pm. Dropping away quite quickly now though, 11 degrees cooler within the hour, now sitting around 29°C. Needed the cool, plants were suffering, giving the tomatoes a soaking now.
  31.  
    Donza

    Donza Pool Room Season Pass Holder

    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  32.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    yep it's coming.
    Nothing much here in Melbourne today, only the odd very light shower. At least it's cooler after a horrible night. Hottest night in December on record (27.4)
  33.  
    Donza

    Donza Pool Room Season Pass Holder

    btw Santa just went across the radar.
  34.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  35.  
    Donza

    Donza Pool Room Season Pass Holder

    will get Poppy onto Norad
  36.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    Looks like a winter day here - all drizzly and cloudy - but the temp is about 15c! The soil is getting very dry so I'm hoping that we will get some proper rain soon.

    (I'm near Narbethong, Vic at the moment)
  37.  
    snow777

    snow777 New Member

    This looks hot!

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  38.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Yep, Thursday looks warm in the SE and Friday ddeidedly hot!
  39.  
    Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room

    No significant rain for VIC in the next week at least.
  40.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Commercial Member

    Stinking hot (40+) for the next 5 days. Just had the warning so that I can organise fire crews.
  41.  
    trappers

    trappers SH10151 Moderator

    ? not quite according to WZ
    http://www.weatherzone.com.au/vic/north-central/narbethong

    we've just had 7 consecutive days > 37 °C topped off by a 42 °C day on NYE [​IMG] your are getting that now [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  42.  
    ScottGN

    ScottGN Active Member

    Queenstown reached a high of just 14 degrees today. We've had pretty torrential rain since New Year's eve. Parts of Fiordland and Westland have had near record rainfalls totals of around 400mm in the last day or so. Around 120 hikers are stuck in huts on the Milford Track waiting for DOC Rangers to guide them out through waist deep water. A cold front is expected to sweep through the Southern Lakes tonight with heavy showers falling as snow to about 1000 metres. Hello summer!
  43.  
    Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room

    Nothing like embellishing it a little bit though, eh? [​IMG] The scaremongering going on in VIC at the moment about a couple of hot days is off the richter, people need to calm down a little bit.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  44.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Commercial Member

    Embellishment? I was warned by DSE, not some local yokel.
    Further, what goes on in Coldstream or Yarra Glen has very little relevance to what goes on here weatherwise - there's a dirty big mountain range in between. Oh BTW, that mountain range is called the Great Dividing Range.
  45.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Commercial Member

    Next 6 days for this area - 37, 40, 35, 38, 41, 41

    Ok, 3 of them under 40, (2 of them under 100 deg F) but not by that much. Very similar to Perth's heatwave.
  46.  
    TOFF

    TOFF Old And Crusty Moderator

    pool will get a good workout and be lovely tomorrow.
  47.  
    Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room

    So it's not 5 days in a row, it's only 2 days. I'm not disputing that the next 6 days will be hot in VIC, but the way the media is going on about it being a prolonged scorching heatwave is just over the top IMO. Yes it will be hot, yes it will nudge 40 on a couple of days, but it's not a cause for mass-hysteria. This is summer in the SE of AUS, and it normally goes like this.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  48.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Commercial Member

    I haven't heard the media - no idea what they've been saying.
  49.  
    trappers

    trappers SH10151 Moderator

    interesting, where is that forecast from? Anyway it aint a pissing comp. I'm sure it will be quite warm and unusual, bad fire conditions!
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  50.  
    teckel

    teckel Old And Crusty Commercial Member

    Been revised since I posted, especially that last day, but here - http://www.weatherzone.com.au/vic/north-central/seymour/forecast

    There's no point in looking for a forecast for Narbethong. There is no official weather station anywhere near us (closest about 40km away in totally different topoggraphy and conditions, and the closest ones there are have a totally differeent climate to us. No one attempts to forecast for this area either - apparently the population is too small.

    It sure ain't a pissing comp! I remember that week we had in early Feb 2009 where it was over 40 every day for a week gradually getting hotter every day and culminating in a 48. There is no way you'd wish for that or even wish it on your worst enemy.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013