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Mega Thread Re: The Weather Forum Epic BBQ thread

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Sandy, May 31, 2010.

  1.  
    MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Part of the Furniture Season Pass Holder

    whatever she's thinking about at 6 oclock I like
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  2.  
    rocketboy

    rocketboy Well-Known Member

    Thredbo BOM has had 4mm at under 0 today - might be a slow and steady accumulation yet.
  3.  
    skiflat

    skiflat New Member

  4.  
    Squidly

    Squidly Dedicated Member

    It was always going to be.
  5.  
    DbSki

    DbSki Addicted Member

    IAW Cloud Cat
    Bust.
  6.  
    Gerg

    Gerg Well-Known Member

    [​IMG]

    A long way out, but that is seriously ugly. First ever July zero for 4/7/13, anybody?

    (BTW, "WTF" was D claiming red is blue, ergo must be colourblind, CC)
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  7.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    It's been showing up,in the last couple of runs on EC.
    I was hoping it was going away.
  8.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Mind you EC (YN.no) is suggesting it will be quite cold (-2 at 1800m) so perhaps not so bad?
  9.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Will not happen imo...not like that
  10.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

  11.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Think models are struggling with such a prolonged cold outbreak. I think lows like these track se
  12.  
    Hacski

    Hacski Dedicated Member

    Another sign of the very mild conditions in the ACT: The first blowfly buzzing through the house tonight since the summer. I hope it represents the tail end of autumn rather than the beginning of spring.
  13.  
    rocketboy

    rocketboy Well-Known Member

    I splatted a blowie this week as well. And had a nat in the car today. That said this was the worst season for flies in several years - they came late and hung around for months on the south coast.
  14.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Now Cc.....its gone off EC
  15.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

  16.  
    Karicta

    Karicta Well-Known Member

    Interesting next 10 days ahead

    Second ECL?.

    Low forming in bight or not?

    Could go either way re nuttin to a real season starter

    Is it just me, or would it be interesting to have elevation and aspect data displayed on all the (pages showing) cams?
  17.  
    JustinH

    JustinH Well-Known Member

    Not just you.... some of them do have it, but should be easier to see.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  18.  
    FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 Dedicated Member

    [​IMG]

    How's that S fetch in the tasman on Tuesday / Wednesday......spells monster Southerly swell for the east coast and could be massive later in the week for Fiji IMO
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  19.  
    Nidecker

    Nidecker Dedicated Member

    Wouldn't be that hard for this website to add that on their pages though?
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  20.  
    Alfred14

    Alfred14 Well-Known Member

    EC showing something for next Friday Saturday.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  21.  
    Alfred14

    Alfred14 Well-Known Member

    GFS not really on board at this stage

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  22.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Just looking at that one myself. Has potential.

    AXS nothing like GFS or EC though.
  23.  
    The Plowking

    The Plowking Addicted Member

    Given all models penchant for moving everything further east the closer the forecast date gets though, that is a clipper.
    But no matter, it doesn't exit. Its next weekend.
    Plenty weather abound. Will get going at some point this month/early July and be a decent season I reckon.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  24.  
    The Plowking

    The Plowking Addicted Member

    Don't like the AXS extended forecast with ecl off nsw later in week.
  25.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Axs is wrong. Updated Gfs and EC make more sense...a bit of potential actually
  26.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    All three models agree on a cutoff Friday night ish...could cook into something.
  27.  
    rocketboy

    rocketboy Well-Known Member

    Looks like Thredbo BOM got a nice dump this afternoon 7mm - all well below Z. Big burst around 1.30pm. 5cm across FV would do wonders to current conditions. Tmw should be nice though. With the guns in full swing tonight and probaly all week - probably worth the drive any day this week for a warm up and a drip of freedom.
  28.  
    Dos

    Dos Well-Known Member

    I wanna cry when I saw your post. Thredbo condition is pathetic. Got lots of snow up top, but can't open slope because nothing at the bottom half. They can't even get Cruiser open yet. Word is it will be open around Wednesday. Friday Flat is not worth riding on now, not even for beginners.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  29.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Guns on at perisher....cloud approaching.
  30.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    [​IMG]

    Has potential, but GFS has it slipping south.

    No agreement in the models though.
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  31.  
    Wardy

    Wardy Well-Known Member

    It's June 16, chill
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  32.  
    rocketboy

    rocketboy Well-Known Member

    Sorry I was talking about Front Valley at PV. It's good enough for what has turned into a derailed slow start. Hence the "Freedom" reference. Being empty mid week - it should be kinda of fun after no skiing since October. But pretty lame for anyone who was OS this past Summer.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  33.  
    Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room

    LWT doing interesting (good) thing starting 7 days from now.
  34.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Models should follow suit, cause at the moment they are wack.
    EC looks the more real.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  35.  
    Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room

    Big bad ECL progged for a couple of models, but they are confused about a strong frontal system that looks to hit us around the 27th at the moment. Models predicting everything from clear cold skies to 200mm ECL deluges. I do like that they are predicting weird whacky shit, it's better than a blocking high.
  36.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    GFS and EC not too dissimilar for next week

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Still looks kind of odd.
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  37.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    [​IMG]

    Beyond this...good luck with that.
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  38.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    I'd agree that models are having problems more than about 5 days out right now.
  39.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    That BOM 4 dayer shows promise.

    In other worthy weather news.

    NZ

    Jesus H christ.
    Kaikoura could have a foot of snow on the beach.
  40.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Yeh, Kiwis could have their best opening for quite a while.
  41.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    TBH its kinda depressing over there at mo

    My aunty and uncle live near Kaiteriteri where that slip took out the house.
    They've never ever seen so much rain in that part of the world.
  42.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Still looking like a clipper on Friday.

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  43.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    CC-weird how it goes from a cutoff on EC (bom) to a clipper on GFS.
    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  44.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    double lows embedded within high pressure systems late Friday. [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  45.  
    Alfred14

    Alfred14 Well-Known Member

    Very weird chart is it just automatically generated or is there some human input?
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  46.  
    -Waterboy-

    -Waterboy- Well-Known Member

    The charts do seem to be off a bit atm.

    Saying that just checking out the satelite things appear a bit funky. I've only been following this sorta stuff for 5-6 years but the amount of rain being generated from the tasman seems quite unusual. In particular its penetration west especially given the tasman low has already spun off into NZ.

    Personally I think the charts over the next couple of days will be more unreliable than normal haha. Also it is always enjoyable watching excitement and disappointment of posts as systems appear and disappear of long range charts. [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  47.  
    ScottGN

    ScottGN Well-Known Member

    Looks like Nelson/Tasman has seen the worst now Donza. There's some concern though for eastern areas of the South Island from Christchurch south to Dunedin where flooding has been severe and heavy snow is expected in the next few days.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  48.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Yeah another aunty is in canters. On the WC road...with a creek through her backyard.
    She'll get snowed in.
  49.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Man...models are wack...
  50.  
    PG

    PG Old And Crusty

    The Charts are BoM artwork based on multiple model output. EC and UK models favour the 'embedded lows' on Friday. BoM, GFS and JMA don't have it