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NZ 17th to 22nd June

Discussion in 'Weather' started by ScottGN, Jun 15, 2013.

  1.  
    ScottGN

    ScottGN Well-Known Member

    It's starting to look like next week could be a real highlight for South Island ski areas. Loads of moisture and potential for snow lowering to around sea level by Thursday.
  2.  
    Kensington

    Kensington New Member

    Looks like a major snow event could be on the way
  3.  
    The Plowking

    The Plowking Addicted Member

    Mega rain beforehand!
    Lose then win
  4.  
    Draizuh

    Draizuh Well-Known Member

    Looking like the Easterly fields might clean up. Hope a good swing SE for the Doolans.
    Id also like to go for a tour on mt dewar again, been a few years.
  5.  
    Centago

    Centago Well-Known Member

    Wasn't expecting to see 5cm new snow at coronet base area when I woke this morning. Metservice are forecasting 35cm today and 41cm tomorrow at remarks, that would be fantastic!
  6.  
    Telestrom

    Telestrom Addicted Member

    Can't see that much for CP/Remarks.

    Mt Hutt on the other hand........
  7.  
    Tropical

    Tropical Dedicated Member

    I love the forecast for the mackenzie fields. Ohau is doing well and it looks like Mt Dobson, Roundhill and Fox Peak should get a nice dump as well according to metservice and mountainwatch. Only 37 days until I am there [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  8.  
    ScottGN

    ScottGN Well-Known Member

    Luckily the low was so big it managed to suck in enough cold easterlies to deliver more snow than rain. Ski areas are reporting about 30-50cms from the weekend's storm.
    Wednesday to Friday this week is still looking like a significant snow event for the South Island. Some forecasts are suggesting perhaps around 50cm down to about 300-400m in eastern areas from Marlborough down to Canterbury and eastern parts of Otago and Southland. Christchurch, Dunedin and maybe Wellington could see snow. Queenstown should see snow though these south-easterly systems tend not to favour inland Otago/Southern Lakes so much.
  9.  
    Draizuh

    Draizuh Well-Known Member

    Last system that hit like this was august 2011 when it snowed about 30cm in queenstown and i remember riding the lightest, driest snow ive ever seen in NZ up remarks down homeward. mustve been over waist deep.
  10.  
    Neslot

    Neslot Dedicated Member

    One of the best days i've had riding, scratched my skis a fair bit on rocks a foot deep, but so worth it.

    Mountainwatch calling big snowfall, but can't really trust them.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  11.  
    Alfred14

    Alfred14 Well-Known Member

    [​IMG]

    Bit windy on Thursday? Looks very cold aswell!
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  12.  
    James B

    James B Dedicated Member

    Loving that anticyclone parked on Hobart. That's what brings the white stuff to low levels in Canterbury. Hell, of course it's going to be windy and cold! Is the Pope Catholic?
  13.  
    PolarRabbit

    PolarRabbit New Member

  14.  
    boorsy

    boorsy New Member

    I'm looking forward to seeing how this one turns out! One in a 20 year storm is brewing!
  15.  
    Austin powers

    Austin powers Old And Crusty

    Predicting 8 inches in Christchurch on Thursday.
  16.  
    MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Part of the Furniture Season Pass Holder

    said the actress to the Bishop
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  17.  
    Lady Mamabear

    Lady Mamabear Part of the Furniture

    TOFF arriving on Thursday?

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  18.  
    Austin powers

    Austin powers Old And Crusty

    That's not taken from the base.
  19.  
    Tropical

    Tropical Dedicated Member

    Ohau, Roundhill and I suppose Mt Dobson (if the snow cam was working) look a like that got the goods out of this storm [​IMG] Only 34 days until I am there.
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  20.  
    Draizuh

    Draizuh Well-Known Member

    Haha the storm hasnt happened yet, wait and see what its like in 2 days time [​IMG]
    Mt Lyford looks like its gonna get a dumping!
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  21.  
    Tropical

    Tropical Dedicated Member

    I was referring to the previous storm ...... the one approaching looks even better [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  22.  
    Telestrom

    Telestrom Addicted Member

    This is looking mighty juicy

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  23.  
    Alfred14

    Alfred14 Well-Known Member

    What sort of totals are they Telestrom?
  24.  
    PolarRabbit

    PolarRabbit New Member

    Friday morning a good chunk of the South Island has a freezing level of 100m!.
  25.  
    ScottGN

    ScottGN Well-Known Member

    Radio NZ reporting this morning that Civil Defense has mobilised in Christchurch and that the Red Cross has put 250 volunteers on standby.
  26.  
    The Plowking

    The Plowking Addicted Member

    Looking good am runs!
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  27.  
    Telestrom

    Telestrom Addicted Member

    Metservice are predicting around 90cm for Mt Hutt/Porters on Thursday and 130cm for Mt Lyford.

    Will be interesting to see how accurate they are.

    Looked like an epic day at Mt Hutt yesterday (18th).

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  28.  
    Tropical

    Tropical Dedicated Member

    124cm forecast for Mt Dobson - Roundhill. 34 days until I arrive in Lake Tekapo [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  29.  
    ScottGN

    ScottGN Well-Known Member

    Snowing at the top of the Crown Range Road. QLDC says chains need to be fitted.
  30.  
    Telestrom

    Telestrom Addicted Member

    HEAVY SNOW AND RAIN FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SOUTH ISLAND. SEVERE GALES ABOUT WESTERN AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE SOUTH ISLAND, ALSO WELLINGTON

    A very strong and cold southery flow is spreading over the South Island tonight, with snow expected to lower to near sea level about southern and eastern areas. Heavy snow is already falling above 300 metres in Southland and is expected to commence in Otago, Canterbury, and southern Marlborough overnight tonight (Wednesday) and Thursday morning. This is a significant event which is expected to persist through until Friday night, accumulations are likely to exceed 50cm above 300 metres, and 100cm above 500 metres. Lesser amounts of snow are expected below 300 metres, with significant rainfall accumulations likely of 100 to 150mm expected over the period in southern Marlborough. In addition, severe gale southeasterlies are expected to develop about western and northern areas, from Fiordland to Nelson, including northern Marlborough and Wellington tomorrow (Thursday) and persist into Friday afternoon. Damaging gusts of 130 km/h are expected in exposed places, but could possibly reach 150km/h through parts of Westland. People should be aware that snowfalls are likely to cause widespread disruption to traffic, especially about alpine passes and higher level roads. Damaging winds are likely to bring down trees and powerlines, make driving dangerous for high sided vehicles and motorcycles, and can cause damage to some structures.
    HEAVY SNOW WARNING
    AREA/S AFFECTED
    Marlborough south of Seddon
    FORECAST

    Rain is expected to turn to snow above about 200 metres during Thursday morning with significant accumulations expected until Friday night. In addition, areas at lower levels are expected to receive a significant amount of rain during the period. In the 36 hours between 6am Thursday and 6pm Friday, expect 50 to 80cm above 300 metres, but 130 to 180cm above 500 metres. Above 200 metres, expect 20 to 30cm of snow during the period, with 100 to 150mm of rain accumulating below 200 metres.

    FREEZING LEVEL: Lowering to 400 metres Thursday morning.
    AREA/S AFFECTED
    Canterbury
    FORECAST

    Rain is expected to turn to snow above about 200 metres overnight tonight (Wednesday) with significant accumulations expected until midday Friday. In addition, areas at lower levels are expected to receive a significant amount of rain during the period. In the 36 hours between midnight tonight (Wednesday) and midday Friday, expect 30 to 60cm above 300 metres, but 100 to 150cm above 500 metres. Above 200 metres, expect 10 to 20cm of snow during the period, with 60 to 90mm of rain accumulating below 200 metres, including Christchurch City.
    AREA/S AFFECTED
    Southland, Central Otago and Eastern Otago about and south of the Kakanui Mountains
    FORECAST

    Snow is currently falling to near sea level and significant accumulations are expected through until late Thursday morning. In the 12 hours between 9pm Wednesday and 9am Thursday, expect 15 to 20cm to accumulate above 300 metres, but 40 to 60cm above 500 metres in Southland and eastern Otago south of the Kakanui Mountains. 5 to 10cm is also expected to accumulate in Central Otago and down to 200 metres elsewhere.

    FREEZING LEVEL: 400 metres.
    STRONG WIND WARNING
    AREA/S AFFECTED
    Fiordland north of Doubtful Sound, Westland and Buller
    FORECAST

    Southeasterlies are expected to rise to severe gale Thursday morning, with damaging gusts to 130km/h in exposed places, possibly reaching 150km/h about parts of Westland Thursday afternoon. Southeasterlies easing below severe gale by Friday afternoon.
    AREA/S AFFECTED
    Northern Marlborough, Nelson excluding Golden Bay, Wellington including the Kapiti Coast
    FORECAST

    Southerlies are expected to rise to severe gale late Thursday afternoon, with damaging gusts to 130km/h in exposed places, then easing below severe gale Friday afternoon.

    NEXT SEVERE WEATHER WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT OR BEFORE 9:00 am Thursday 20-Jun-2013

    Funded by NZ Government
    Advertisement
  31.  
    Telestrom

    Telestrom Addicted Member

    Highlights from above are: 150km/h gusts in Westland and up to 180cm snow in Marlborough!!!!!!
  32.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Rainbow.
  33.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Kiakoura's would be getting a bit.
  34.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Yeah...friggen cold place kaikers
  35.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Even in the middle of summer [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  36.  
    Donza

    Donza Old And Crusty Season Pass Holder

    Good surf though...and fish n chips. Might see some snow around Richmond CC..
  37.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Surf was flat when we were there. Nice place though.
    Reckon the road between Nelson and Havelock will close.
  38.  
    Telestrom

    Telestrom Addicted Member

    Might need the snow chains and snorkel to get through....

    PORTERS PASS

    Issued by MetService: 9:37pm Wednesday 19 Jun 2013
    Valid Until: 10:00am Thursday 20 Jun 2013

    Snow about the summit is expected to lower to 200 metres overnight (Wednesday). Snow is expected to persist through to Saturday afternoon, with significant accumulations expected, possibly 100 to 150cm about the road for the entire event. However, from 9pm Wednesday to midnight Thursday expect 70 to 100cm to accumulate.
  39.  
    dr80

    dr80 Well-Known Member

    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  40.  
    dr80

    dr80 Well-Known Member

    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 15, 2013
  41.  
    Telestrom

    Telestrom Addicted Member

    Certainly should cool the ground down.

    Here's what the Mt Hutt snow patrol saw early this morning

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  42.  
    Red_switch

    Red_switch Addicted Member

    Looks like some really cold air due to hit Southland today, less moisture though.

    This storm has been way over-hyped in the media imho. Good for the hills though. Saw some very impressive pics from Mt Cook village this morning.
  43.  
    absentskier

    absentskier Addicted Member

    That's just nuts!!
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  44.  
    ScottGN

    ScottGN Well-Known Member

    The Remarkables look to be doing a great job shielding Queenstown from the south-easterly fronts. There's been very little snow in town, perhaps a couple of cms on the ground this morning which has all gone now.
  45.  
    Red_switch

    Red_switch Addicted Member

    Meanwhile... in Kingston, 40 - 50 cm on the ground:
    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  46.  
    James B

    James B Dedicated Member

    70cm so far at Broken River and still coming down. Opening as soon as road and tracks cleared.

    [​IMG]
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  47.  
    Alfred14

    Alfred14 Well-Known Member

    ^ Looks amazing! Wish i lived in NZ
  48.  
    MisterMxyzptlk

    MisterMxyzptlk Part of the Furniture Season Pass Holder

    I see NZud rail have been updating their rolling stock
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013
  49.  
    Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing Moderator

    Stay on topic.
  50.  
    ScottGN

    ScottGN Well-Known Member

    Kingston to Invercargill in only 5 hours...weather permitting.
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 13, 2013