Going way out on a limb here, but ... around the end of the month the Spag Plot is showing some squiggily goodness (and has been for the last few days). A sexy node for sure.


(will update)

I'm sure others have noticed this too...could it be...could it be. ?

it could
and it may not be
either one of those two scenarios
IMO

This has shown up and vanishesd a couple of times on extended GFS and EC. Will be one to watch over the next few days. Big dump these dates = season starter

Now looking like it could be a couple of days earlier. LWT thinks there is potential on these dates.

Yep, it looks like it's been pushed back, now covered in the 22nd Thread.

However, LWT tonight shows another system following it, coming through around these dates.

The both look very impressive IMO.

Bears would like plain language speak on this please.

Have we identified a possible group of days in which we can epect blizzard over a few days??

Cos we are wondering if there will be any natural snow available on QBW in NE Vic.

Have have seen that Baw Baw did well out of last system but are not holding our breath in regard to xc across any of Bogong Highplains yet.
Last dump has probably all but gone.Was nice cold powder falling on us in Pretty Valley late saturday night and early sunday morning but so much had disappeared by the time we left Falls Ck late Sunday.
Talk us thro the Spaggetti model please.

Has this system been merged with the 23-27th system? Because, IMO this period is in between systems.

yep. What was there ain't there any more.. Next window with a sniff 9 junish IMO (i don't have any confidence in my precision so ish is pretty loose)..

after another look GFS at +372 is giving a sniff for the end of this window..after some prefrontal but that's GFS.

So maybe May31- Jun3

Still looks like some activity around 31st

Ok we you have more detail we can update the date range.

This is the 10 day EC range - any comments from the bears and cooks. Plus there's another whole week of weather after this before QB LWE.

Hard to say for sure. IMO no action for these dates now, with a dominating high pressure system likely. LWT has gone off it. However ACCESS-G disagrees, showing something coming through around the 30th.

The 12Z ACCESS-G run has a big fat high pressure system over Southern Australia for the rest of the month (after the weekend systems)

Looks like something showing up around the 5th but it is a long way out so will wait a few days before starting a thread.

This is on
IMO

spag says hello

Noticed that as well. Spag is looking nice.

Nothing until about 2nd IMO

I am seeing some real goodness between the 6th and 10th. Dates may move slightly but the Antarctic rotation is looking sweet. Give it a few days and we should be able to lock in a reasonable date range.

Spag still very interested....so am i

Currently looking very wet around the 3 & 4th of June going on EC
(IMO)

Donza & Katanga say it's interesting and you say it's done - you need to substantiate that - they have runs on the board.

(or does the thread title ned adjusting?? )

Still a bit of divergence on the models IMO.

(I also removed the dates in this thread to avoid confusion)

ahh, snap Stratus ( re thread dates)

Looking like a cold & wet (snowy ) southerly blast around the 9-10th June on today 16 days long range chart.. Will probably be gone tomorrow

EC going for snow after a fair bit of rain.
IMO I'm not really convinced of this one, temps seem variable. At this stage yr.no showing 30cm+ (hotham) on the 5th after 30mm rain.

Latest BOM looks like a winner 31st or 1st June, as IMO the high off WA will force the front across. Just how far the cold gets squeezed southwards is anyones guess at the moment.

Looks like rain and no snow below about 1800m in the system that'll be over the alps on 2nd-somethin June. Then temps may drop lower after 1-2 days and snow a bit less that what we had 22-27th.

IMO

And pffft it's gone on the next run.

i think i change in dates for the thread is needed. can't see anything before the 4th/5th. More interested in something brewing around the 8th/9th

The thread is already titled "Re: Predictions: Early June" so I guess it's fairly open-ended.