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April 21-26 -- 'Claire'

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loweee Offline
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Registered: 21/04/02
Posts: 2127
Loc: Jindabyne
12/04/12 02:31 pm  -  ID#1616335
Just because it covers Anzac day and it has happened before plus GFS on extended 14 day shows a nice cold outbreak.



Cant get image to work for 24 or 25 April.

Looks good 12 days out on this model.


Edited by Richard (12/04/12 03:06 pm)
Claude Cat Offline
Gone Fishn'
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
12/04/12 02:33 pm  -  ID#1616336  -  [Re: loweee]   
IMO models have something happening 20-24th time frame, but keep jumping around.
loweee Offline
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Registered: 21/04/02
Posts: 2127
Loc: Jindabyne
12/04/12 02:35 pm  -  ID#1616338  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
Just extended the time frame to cover the potential and thanks for fixing the pic.
Donza Offline
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 21/04/04
Posts: 33211
Loc: wollongong
12/04/12 02:36 pm  -  ID#1616339  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
 Originally Posted By: Claude Cat
IMO models have something happening 20-24th time frame, but keep jumping around.


Yeah EC has been sniffing
I've been watching it a bit...
interesting

i'm a model,"right so your mate with a camera who thinks he's a photog got you to get your tits out"
Vermillion Offline
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 13/11/05
Posts: 39194
Loc: Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
12/04/12 02:42 pm  -  ID#1616348  -  [Re: Donza]   
I is not so interested at the moment.
doyoueven.com coming soon.
Snow Blowey Offline
Part of the Furniture

Registered: 07/01/04
Posts: 10405
Loc: Dubbo NSW
12/04/12 03:42 pm  -  ID#1616412  -  [Re: Vermillion]   
There always seems to be a decent event around ANZAC day.
Visit - www.ozbc.net - For Information on Australian Backcountry Skiing
Donza Offline
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 21/04/04
Posts: 33211
Loc: wollongong
12/04/12 03:43 pm  -  ID#1616415  -  [Re: Vermillion]   
 Originally Posted By: Vermillion
I is not so interested at the moment.


Its OK Sisfm says hello
i'm a model,"right so your mate with a camera who thinks he's a photog got you to get your tits out"
Snorkler Offline
Part of the Furniture

Registered: 01/01/70
Posts: 16632
Loc: Melbourne, Vic
12/04/12 03:49 pm  -  ID#1616423  -  [Re: Donza]   
It could go either way, but it's more likely to be a fizzer and warmer than models suggest at the moment.
You're not an expert because you're too worried about stuffing up instead of trying to show off.
agentBM Offline
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Registered: 27/10/00
Posts: 13519
Loc: Space..traveling through the v...
12/04/12 03:49 pm  -  ID#1616424  -  [Re: Snow Blowey]   
Yep....2009 was good.
Three times ascent of highest mountain on one of the seven continents of Earth.
Vermillion Offline
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Registered: 13/11/05
Posts: 39194
Loc: Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
12/04/12 03:51 pm  -  ID#1616427  -  [Re: Donza]   
 Originally Posted By: Donza
 Originally Posted By: Vermillion
I is not so interested at the moment.


Its OK Sisfm says hello


Dont worry I have already taken up interest in that ;\)
doyoueven.com coming soon.
Donza Offline
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 21/04/04
Posts: 33211
Loc: wollongong
12/04/12 04:57 pm  -  ID#1616480  -  [Re: Vermillion]   
I see a frikken lot of potential...
i'm a model,"right so your mate with a camera who thinks he's a photog got you to get your tits out"
Claude Cat Offline
Gone Fishn'
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
12/04/12 05:04 pm  -  ID#1616483  -  [Re: Donza]   
Afternoon EC chart for the 21st

Claude Cat Offline
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Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
12/04/12 08:41 pm  -  ID#1616606  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
Afternoon GFS pushes it out further.



And cold air not arriving until the 26th IMO ...

Still very fluid.
ice_man Offline
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Registered: 21/08/08
Posts: 3531
Loc: Stockholm, Sweden
12/04/12 09:43 pm  -  ID#1616667  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
Although something is consistently popping up around this time? IMO that's more a good thing than anything. At least it's not jumping to a cutoff or troughy system all the time. It's way too far out for me to consider at this stage. I'll wait a few days before deciding.
agentBM Offline
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Registered: 27/10/00
Posts: 13519
Loc: Space..traveling through the v...
13/04/12 09:58 am  -  ID#1616899  -  [Re: ice_man]   
22nd winds swinging around from south east - might indicate a correlation with dates as per above...that's all (wanted to post link)

http://www.yr.no/place/Australia/Australian_Capital_Territory/Canberra/long.html
Three times ascent of highest mountain on one of the seven continents of Earth.
Donza Offline
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Registered: 21/04/04
Posts: 33211
Loc: wollongong
13/04/12 10:01 am  -  ID#1616903  -  [Re: agentBM]   
Looking very interesting on axs and ec this morning

mmmm likey
i'm a model,"right so your mate with a camera who thinks he's a photog got you to get your tits out"
trappers Offline
... Some say he once learnt English from a book ... ¿qué?...
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 28/07/99
Posts: 35574
Loc: Left of center, off of the str...
13/04/12 10:25 am  -  ID#1616930  -  [Re: Donza]   
Too warm.
...
The algorithm constantly finds Jesus.
This is not the algorithm. This is close.
Donza Offline
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Registered: 21/04/04
Posts: 33211
Loc: wollongong
13/04/12 10:40 am  -  ID#1616944  -  [Re: trappers]   
 Originally Posted By: trappers
Too warm.

at the mo
i'm a model,"right so your mate with a camera who thinks he's a photog got you to get your tits out"
Claude Cat Offline
Gone Fishn'
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
13/04/12 10:41 am  -  ID#1616945  -  [Re: trappers]   
GFS suggest cold enough for at least Tasmania and perhaps Baw Baw on the 25th.
But not a lot of juice left in it by this stage.



Claude Cat Offline
Gone Fishn'
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Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
13/04/12 10:43 am  -  ID#1616948  -  [Re: Donza]   
 Originally Posted By: Donza
Looking very interesting on axs and ec this morning

mmmm likey


EC, like GFS shows it peaking in the bight. Perhaps a clipper ...
Donza Offline
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 21/04/04
Posts: 33211
Loc: wollongong
13/04/12 10:43 am  -  ID#1616949  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
Its all about the mojo at the moment...

spaghetti ensambles project some very cold 500hpa air..
massive divergence between runs...but transeasonal thats expected..



coupled with a cutoff......


Edited by Donza (13/04/12 10:44 am)
i'm a model,"right so your mate with a camera who thinks he's a photog got you to get your tits out"
Claude Cat Offline
Gone Fishn'
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
13/04/12 10:44 am  -  ID#1616950  -  [Re: Donza]   
"Mojo" is the new "Vibe" ;\)

IMO
agentBM Offline
Part of the Furniture

Registered: 27/10/00
Posts: 13519
Loc: Space..traveling through the v...
13/04/12 10:46 am  -  ID#1616953  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
Rossby...?
Three times ascent of highest mountain on one of the seven continents of Earth.
Ian D Offline
Man with big stick
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Registered: 01/01/70
Posts: 37570
Loc: Newcastle
13/04/12 10:48 am  -  ID#1616957  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
Not much trading on Claire yet, everyone seems to be playing a waiting game.
wikiski.com - go and add something
Vermillion Offline
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Registered: 13/11/05
Posts: 39194
Loc: Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
13/04/12 10:51 am  -  ID#1616959  -  [Re: Ian D]   
Bet early. Strike oil. Win.
doyoueven.com coming soon.
Claude Cat Offline
Gone Fishn'
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
13/04/12 11:00 am  -  ID#1616976  -  [Re: Ian D]   
 Originally Posted By: Ian D
Not much trading on Claire yet, everyone seems to be playing a waiting game.


Gone short so far ;\)
Donza Offline
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Registered: 21/04/04
Posts: 33211
Loc: wollongong
13/04/12 11:14 am  -  ID#1617002  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
 Originally Posted By: Claude Cat
 Originally Posted By: Ian D
Not much trading on Claire yet, everyone seems to be playing a waiting game.


Gone short so far ;\)


I'm in up to my eyeballs

last one went ok for me
i'm a model,"right so your mate with a camera who thinks he's a photog got you to get your tits out"
Vermillion Offline
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 13/11/05
Posts: 39194
Loc: Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
13/04/12 11:50 am  -  ID#1617057  -  [Re: Donza]   
 Originally Posted By: Donza
 Originally Posted By: Claude Cat
 Originally Posted By: Ian D
Not much trading on Claire yet, everyone seems to be playing a waiting game.


Gone short so far ;\)


I'm in up to my eyeballs

last one went ok for me



x2

Buy early and you can gain so much more.
doyoueven.com coming soon.
Claude Cat Offline
Gone Fishn'
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
13/04/12 05:15 pm  -  ID#1617391  -  [Re: Vermillion]   
IMO 3pm EC is in love with it.





Edited by Claude Cat (13/04/12 05:16 pm)
Edit Reason: EC not GFS dummy!
Claude Cat Offline
Gone Fishn'
Old and Crusty ;)

Registered: 06/07/01
Posts: 34608
Loc: Melbourne
13/04/12 05:17 pm  -  ID#1617395  -  [Re: Claude Cat]   
But the corresponding GFS run the system has completely gone!!

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